Skip to content

Do you have a robust strategy?

Using Scenario Planning to navigate the future

The why

Life-science companies face continual shifts in technologies, trends, and market dynamics that influence their strategic goals. Yet few of these developments pose an existential threat if addressed in a managed and proactive way. Scenario Planning helps organisations recognize multiple plausible futures and build strategies that remain robust across them.

The challenge

Our client wanted to pressure-test their strategy to ensure their choices would remain robust in a rapidly changing market. Although their existing business model was currently a strong cash cow, they recognised it could be challenged in the future. They therefore sought a framework to help navigate strategic decisions within a range of plausible future contexts.

How we helped

Applying our scenario-planning methodology to the focal question involved analysing future drivers through expert interviews, AI-supported insights, and data within a PESTLE (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental) framework. By zooming in on the drivers where no consensus existed, we identified the most critical uncertainties — forming the basis for a set of plausible future scenarios. Through detailed scenario narratives, these futures came to life and shaped strategic discussions around the client’s most robust strategic choices.

Outcome

Scenario Planning is a powerful tool for executives and boards to pressure-test their strategies.

Scenario Planning is a practical tool for regular board discussions on navigating complexity

24

What moved the needle

Focusing on diverging viewpoints when exploring critical uncertainties
Examining scenarios collectively as a leadership team to recognise what must be addressed
Making sound, well-informed strategic choices
Partner

Jonas T. Karlsen, Ph.D.

Jonas is a life science strategist supporting executives drive progress across the value chain. He is an expert in bridging strategy and execution via global operating model design and transformation rooted in strategic objectives. He engages with structured top-down thinking and a pragmatic and collaborative approach to mobilise organizations and make things happen.

Jonas holds a Ph.D. in biophysics from the Technical University of Denmark, DTU, and further studied at California Institute of Technology. Recipient of the Ministry of Sciences Elite Research Award.

Selected experience

  • Ecosystem integration and external innovation pipeline
  • Lab of the future capability building and operating model design
  • Global clinical operating model design and transformation
  • Pre-launch strategy for cardiometabolic TA development

 

team-portrait-jonas-tobias-karlsen-4x5-1200x1500